Subject : Quantitative Methods


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INDIAN SCHOOL OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT AND ADMINISTRATION
 

AN ISO 9001:2015 CERTIFIED INTERNATIONAL B-SCHOOL
 

Name :                                                                                                                     Marks : 80
Course :Masters in Business Administration (MBA 4 Sem)
Subject : Quantitative Methods
 


Case Studies

Linear Programming                                                                                    (20 Marks)

Lexicographic Goal Programming is used to solve a series of Linear Programming Model. This programming is used wen . a goal has to be attained on•priority basis. Revenue budgeting is being used to decide budget instead of a specific system in budget. Nevertheless, revenue budget lays emphasis on the rising limitation of revenue while estimating budget. The decision makers are limited due to the rising power of capital and also the awareness of imminent restraints and fear of capital resources. The goal is to raise the salary and allowance of the workers,to cut down the operating cost, to raise the revenue expenses, to raise the capital generated internally, and the cut down the overall budget. Some of the problems are: insufficient allocation of funds and income, and• absence of importance of order. The insufficient allotment occurred as the quantitative allotment models were not used with power. . It is seen that the allotment of capital were not being used in the right" way as a result the capital allotted to the labs is drawn •in the maintenance of hostel. Various other changes also happen. In fact, the funds allotted to the tertiary organizations are more often not managed properly. The University of Owerri suffered and the progress of the institution came down. There is absence of active teams for monitoring budget, and so the budget can function in any manner. If the active teams to monitor budget were present, the problem of mismanagement and the wrong use of it would come down. Sundaram (1978) and Lee (1972) agreed that the various features of target programming are, that it allows ordinal solution. According to Igniio (1978), this tactic called Goal Programming, frequently symbolizes considerable progress in the modeling and evaluation of the multi objective problems. This shows that this area lets the systematic evaluation of a number of multi objective problems which could include linear or non linear operations in the incessant or separate variables. This is most successful in the research area. The goal programming developed due to Charnes and Cooper, who suggested that the model and method for dealing with some linear programming problems where the contradictory 'goals of management' involed as limitations. Goal programming method has been used for a number of programs. Goal programming technique has solved the following problems: planning production in a ship repairing company, smoothing production in 'just in time' production atmosphere. The problem occurs when the model does not show the real inclination of the decision maker. Non-inferior solution in some cases many not be essentially better than the lesser solution mainly in the case of natural resource problem.


Answer the following question.

Q1. What are the problems while estimating the budget?

(Hint: insufficient allocation of funds and income, and absence of importance of order, The insufficient allotment occurred as the quantitative allotment models were not used with power)

Answer : There are a number of serious problems associated with budgeting, which include gamesmanship, excessive time required to create budgets, and budgeting inaccuracy. In more detail, the problems with budgeting include:

Ø Inaccuracy. A budget is based on a set of assumptions that are generally not too far distant from the operating conditions under which it was formulated. If the business environment changes to any significant degree, the company’s revenues or cost structure may change so radically that actual results will rapidly


Case Study

    A monte Carlo                                                                                            (20 Marks)

Laura,' a 57 year old unmarried woman, earns around 68,000 dollars per year with expenditure of 37,500 dollars. She hit away 14,000 dollars each year and collected 330,000 dollars in her RRSP and TFSA, and also a rented apartment worth 250,000 dollars. She has a iixed pension given by her employer, although it is not indicated to price rise, and Is entitled to get complete benefits of Canada Pension Plan and Old Age Security, for retirement. She did not have a very competent portfolio: one fourth of cash is there, and most of it was in contracted sector ETFs, single stocks and business bonds. Due to wrong entry of ETFs in the account, unnecessary taxes were charged. Even before reconstructing Laura's portfolio,"he had to make certain that it matched with.her financial aims. Laura's main aim was to ascertain if she could retire before the age of 65, maybe as early as 60, therefore she had to know if her investments could produce enough flow of cash after she retires. Monte Carlo may show a top possibility of success with the allotment of equity of 70% ot 80%. Through a risky questionnaire and art open interview, Justin Ill 'ascertain that Laura was the best person for a portfolio of 60% fixed income and 40% equities. . Through Monte Carlo software, Justin entered the current portfolio . size of Laura, her rate of savings, projected retirement expenditure, and other employer income and government pensions. If Laura feels that working till the age of 63 was unpleasant, she could go for the reproduction again and with different estimation.
10/1/2019 Aeren Foundation
Increasing her anticipated returns or bringing down the rate of inflation, is only a thought, therefore, she will have to make some stronger decisions: she will have to making some more savings, or bring down her rate of planned expenses after retirement. Amazingly, by bringing up the allotment to fixed salary could increase her opportunity to succeed: in spite of th returns being lower than the equities, the volatility is also less, which lessens the risk of helpless decline in the early years. At last, Laura decided to work for 6 more years and plan her retirement at the age of 63. After this, Justin decided to help her make a fresh ETF portfolio to match that goal: it was finalized at 30% short term business bonds, 30% GICs, and the rest of it was divided among Canadian, L'S and global equities. Laura was able to make a notified decision through the Monte Carlo simulation, but this wasn't the end of the procedure. In two or three years time, she will have to visit the location again to see that she is still on the right path of her retirement goal, as many issues like, loss of job, a legacy, new connections, increase in the interest rates, all these could bring a change in the main suppusitions 1 ; and she will have to redo her plans. The possibilities are different before the age of 63. For each added year that Laura works, her portfolio will addition instead of a decrease and this will lead to a thrilling difference: the success rate will rise up by 25% points if she continues to work till the age of 61 instead of 60.

Answer the following question.

Q1. How much was Laura earning at the age of 57?

(Hint: 68,000 dollars per year)
Answer :






A Network Rail                                                                                             (20 Marks)

The railways play an important role in the economy and infrastructure of Britain. Not very many people travelled back jn the 1920 as compared to present time, in spite of 50% reduction in raif routes as compared to the 1960s. Rail is also used for transporting goods around Britain. Rail proves to be• more eco-friendly and safest means of transportation as compa;ed to other vehicles so, not surprisingly, the number of people commuting have gone 40% more since the past ten years. By 2034, this figure can go up. The work of network rail has to look after the tracks, bridges and tunnels which comprises of the British rail network. The railway infrastructure is made up of signals and level crossings. It has to look after the 20,000 mile long track and 40,000 bridges and tunnels. Britain's 18 main rail stations, from Edinburg Waverley to London King's Cross, are looked after by the Britain rail system. Ten years ago, when the network rail took up these responsibilities, • it had to face some challenges. The rail neork was facing some problems. Trains were running late, the costs were too high and there was shortage of assets in both the people and machinery. Due to these issues, people had less confidence in the rail network. Ever since then, rail network has aimed at sustaining operations to reduce the expenses. There has been 28% reduction in expenses mainly because of conomy of scale. New tracks and machinery have been bought, and there has been 90% rise in the rail punctuality. Huge projects have been given on time an towards th budget, as a result the confidence of the people has improved. Rail network has moved from 'find and fix' to 'predict and prevent' policy. This has proved to be more cost effective and competent and enabled in avoiding delay or obstruction for the people in their travel. The rail network invested approx. 12 billion pounds between 2009 and 2014, towards the rail network. Britain has the fastest developing network in whole of Europe. By investing in people, the rail network is investing in the future to. .B ritain has the largest working personnel of 35,000 workers. It has people working in various positions, like, engineers for maintenance and signaling to project managers. Each area offers an opportunity to work. They also consist oi HR (human resources), IT (information technology), and finance and customer service. Network Rail needs to employ and keep capable engineers in order to get the work done. Presently, its engineers are doing some oi the most stimulating projects in Europe. The projects include HS2, which is the new super spted rail link between the north and south Britain, and the project of London Crossrail. Some oi the biggest and busiest rail stations are being upgraded, like, London King's Cross and Birmingham New Street. The main focus of the HR of Network Rail is to recruit various personnel. This not only deepens the culture of business but it also makes sure that it can reach every talent. It offers training for every applicant, whether he is a school drop-out or a graduate, whether male or female, a continued flow of appropriate talent is ensured to keep its long term project going. The company abo gives many opportunities to its workers to receive recognized qualifications, such as an exclusive programme in post graduation, sponsoring the Master's Degree in project management and trainee.

Answer the following question.

Q1. What were the initial problems that Network Rail of Britain face?

(Hint: It has to look after the 20,000 mile long track and 40,000 bridges and tunnels. Trains were running late, the costs were too high and there was shortage of assets in both the people and machinery) Q2. What is the new super speed rail link between the north and south Britain called? (Hint: HS2)

Answer : What is Network Rail?

Network Rail (NR) was set up in 2002 to replace Railtrack as the body responsible for Britain's rail network. It holds a monopoly over Britain's rail infrastructure, a major national asset, and as such is rigorously monitored to ensure accountability to the public interest. Its network operating licence was originally issued to Railtrack on March 31st 1994.

As a result NR is limited by guarantee, which means it operates as a private company without a profit-making function. Instead of shareholders, members drawn from the rail industry and the general public hold the board to account by reviewing its performance against pre-set targets. The Department for Transport (DfT) is also a member, providing it with substantial subsidies each year.

Network Rail is the owner (via its






CASE STUDY                                                                                                  (20 Marks)

The price P per unit at which a company can sell all that it produces is given by the function P(x) = 300 — 4x. The cost function is c(x) = 500 + 28x where x is the number of units produced. Find x so that the profit is maximum.

Answer the following question.

Q1. Find the value of x.
Answer :



Q2. In using regression analysis for making predictions what are the assumptions involved.
Answer : Building a linear regression model is only half of the work. In order to actually be usable in practice, the model should conform to the assumptions of linear regression.

Assumption 1
The regression model is linear in parameters
An example of model equation that is linear in parameters
Y = a + (β1*X1) + (β2*X22)


Q3. What is a simple linear regression model?
Answer : Linear regression models are used to show or predict the relationship between two variables or factors. The factor that is being predicted (the factor that the equation solves for) is called the dependent variable. The factors that are used to predict the value of the dependent variable are called the independent variables.
Good data does not always tell the complete story. Regression analysis is commonly used in research as it establishes that a correlation exists between variables. But correlation is not the same as causation. Even a line in a simple linear regression that fits the data points well may not say something definitive about a cause-and-effect relationship.
In simple linear regression, each observation consists of two values. One value is for the dependent variable and one value is for the independent variable.
  • Simple Linear Regression Analysis The



Q4. What is a scatter diagram method?
Answer : The scatter diagram is known by many names, such as scatter plot, scatter graph, and correlation chart. This diagram is drawn with two variables, usually the first variable is independent and the second variable is dependent on the first variable.

scatter-diagram
The scatter diagram is used to find the correlation between these two variables. This diagram helps you determine how closely the two variables are related. After determining the correlation between the variables, you can then predict the behavior of the dependent variable based on the measure of the independent variable. This chart is very useful when one variable is easy to measure and the other is not.
Example


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Send your semester & Specialization name to our mail id
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